Economist - Crude, Natural Gas & LNG
This is a high-impact role that sits at the intersection of economics, markets, and commercial strategy. The right candidate will directly influence multi-billion-dollar contract decisions and help shape the company's position in the global crude, natural gas, and LNG markets. Position Overview Key Responsibilities
- Perform comprehensive economic and financial evaluations of short-term (spot, forward, monthly) and long-term (5-20+ year) contracts, including LNG offtake commitments, LNG sales and purchase agreements (SPAs), crude oil term sales, and natural gas/crude long-haul pipeline capacity contracts.
- Build, maintain, and stress-test complex financial models (NPV, IRR, DCF, breakeven, Monte Carlo, and real-options analysis) to quantify contract value, price-risk exposure, volume risk, counterparty credit risk, and basis differentials.
- Design and optimize contract structures, including pricing formulas (oil-linked, gas-indexed, S-curve, fixed-price), take-or-pay provisions, destination flexibility, cargo diversion rights, make-good mechanisms, and pipeline tolling / ship-or-pay terms.
- Monitor and leverage global and regional market fundamentals for crude oil (WTI, Brent, Dubai, etc.), natural gas (Henry Hub, Waha, other basis), and LNG (TTF, JKM, other derivative markets).
- Develop and run price simulation models (Monte Carlo, Geometric Brownian Motion, Mean-Reverting Processes, and Scenario-Based Forecasting) for crude, natural gas and LNG to assess contract value under various market conditions, volatility regimes, and long-term supply-demand scenarios.
- Support deal negotiation and execution by preparing sensitivity tables, bid curves, risk matrices, and executive-level presentations.
- Collaborate cross-functionally with Trading, Marketing, Origination, Finance, and Operations teams to align contract terms with portfolio strategy, hedging programs, and corporate risk appetite.
- Continuously improve structuring tools, templates, and analytical frameworks to increase speed and accuracy of deal evaluations.
- Legally authorized to work in the United States
- Bachelor's degree or higher in Economics, Finance, Energy Commerce, Petroleum Engineering, a quantitative discipline, or foreign equivalent
- 3 or more years of direct experience in commodity contract evaluation, deal structuring, or economic analysis within LNG, natural gas, or crude oil markets.
- Willing and able (with or without reasonable accommodation) to travel 10% of the time on a yearly basis
- Demonstrated expertise in LNG SPA structuring and offtake agreements and/or long-haul pipeline transportation contracts (crude or natural gas).
- Advanced financial modeling skills in Excel (VBA); experience with Python, R, or Monte Carlo tools is a plus.
- Understanding of energy pricing mechanisms, indexation formulas, and basis differentials across North America, Europe, and Asia.
- Strong commercial judgment and the ability to translate complex quantitative analysis into clear, actionable deal recommendations.
- Previous experience at an LNG producer/marketer, major oil company, pipeline operator, commodity trading house, or energy-focused investment bank.
- Previous experience with hybrid pricing structures.
- Professional qualifications such as CFA or FRM.
- Exceptional analytical and quantitative skills with meticulous attention to detail.
- Ability to thrive in a fast-paced, deal-driven environment with tight deadlines.
- Excellent written and verbal communication skills; comfortable presenting to senior leadership.
- Strong interpersonal skills and a collaborative team player mindset.
- High integrity and sound business judgment when balancing risk and reward.
- Builds strong relationships based on trust and seeks opportunities to collaborate across the matrix/organizational boundaries to achieve business goals.
- Drives thoughtful and pragmatic change by encouraging innovative thinking and continuous improvement, and models adaptability by responding resourcefully, flexibly, and positively when faced with new challenges and demands.
- Analyzes stakeholder needs, global, political, and market trends to understand how they shape the future and impact our business results.
- Taking Care of Your Health & Wellness : Medical, dental, vision, mental health support, and wellness programs.
- Supporting and Building Financial Security : Competitive base pay, annual performance bonuses, and retirement savings plans.
- Promoting Work-Life Balance : Paid time off, paid parental leave, and family support resources.
- Offering Career Development : Access to training, mentoring, and internal career mobility tools.
- Guiding Recognition & Inclusion : Peer-nominated awards, inclusive culture, and employee resource groups.
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